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The 15‑15‑15 Rule: A Guiding Principle for Long-Term Wealth Creation

  • Writer: Paisa Nurture
    Paisa Nurture
  • Oct 13
  • 3 min read
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Many investors seek simple heuristics or rules to guide their investment decisions. One such rule in the Indian mutual fund space is the 15‑15‑15 rule (sometimes termed the 15x15x15 rule). While not a guarantee, it offers a useful lens to appreciate the power of consistency, compounding, and disciplined investing.

 What Is the 15‑15‑15 Rule?

At its core, the 15‑15‑15 rule suggests:

  • Invest ₹15,000 every month (SIP)

  • For a duration of 15 years

  • In a fund (usually equity or growth-oriented) that can deliver ~15% annualised returns

Under these assumptions, the rule projects that your investment can grow to around ₹1 crore in about 15 years.

Furthermore, if you continue the same discipline for another 15 years (i.e. 30 years total) with the same return assumptions, the corpus can grow exponentially—even crossing ₹10 crore territory.

How the Rule Works (with an Example)

Let’s break it down:

  1. Monthly Investment (SIP): ₹15,000

  2. Time Horizon: 15 years

  3. Assumed Rate of Return: 15% per annum

  4. Over 15 years, your total invested capital would be: 180 months × ₹15,000 = ₹27,00,000

  5. With compounding at ~15%, the final corpus is projected to be approximately ₹1.0–1.02 crore (i.e. a gain of ~₹73 lakh over invested capital)

  6. If you continue for another 15 years (i.e. keep investing the same SIP and remain invested), this corpus may jump several-fold (to the order of ₹10+ crore), due to exponential compounding.

In effect, the rule symbolizes how time + consistency + compounding work together.

Why the Rule Gains Popularity?

  1. Simplicity & Clarity 

    It gives a memorable, easy-to-understand target: “₹15,000 × 15 years × 15%” = ~₹1 crore.

  2. Discipline Over Timing

     It emphasizes regular investment (SIP) rather than trying to time the market peaks and troughs.

  3. Illustration of Compounding 

    It’s a practical demonstration of how returns generate further returns over time.

  4. Psychological Motivation 

    Having a concrete “Crore Pati target” can improve commitment and reduce wavering.

Key Risks and Realities to Understand

While the 15‑15‑15 rule is attractive, it is not foolproof. Here are important considerations:

  1. Returns Are Not Guaranteed 

    The 15% annual return is an assumption. Market-linked returns can vary widely.

  2. Volatility & Downturns

     In equity markets, there will be correction phases. Sticking through periods of drawdown is essential or the outcome may deviate significantly.

  3. Inflation Erosion 

    Even if you reach ₹1 crore in 15 years, its real value (purchasing power) may erode due to inflation.

  4. Liquidity Interruptions & Fund Pauses 

    If you miss SIPs due to financial stress, your compounding trajectory will be disrupted.

  5. Over-Reliance on Equity

     To aim for 15% returns, the strategy often leans heavily into equities—raising concentration risk.

  6. Unrealistic Expectations 

    Many critics argue the rule becomes misleading when investors treat it as a guarantee.

 

How to Use the Rule Sensibly: Best Practices

  • Use it as a benchmark, not a mandate.

     Tailor SIP amounts, time horizons, and expected returns to your own risk profile.

  • Start early 

    So compounding has time to work.

  • Review periodically

    Rebalance between equity, debt, and safer assets as you age or your goals shift.

  • Avoid pausing SIPs 

    Even during volatile markets; consistency compounds more benefits.

  • Diversify within equity

     Multi-cap, sector-neutral, index + active mixture.

  • Adjust your expectations

    Consider more conservative return rates (10–12%) in planning models.

Final Thoughts

The 15‑15‑15 rule is a powerful heuristic—a way to visualize how modest but consistent investing, backed by compounding over time, can yield substantial wealth. But it should be treated as an illustrative tool, not a promise. Markets are unpredictable, and success depends on discipline, patience, and realistic expectations.

Use the rule to motivationally anchor your long-term investing, but couple it with professional guidance, diversified portfolios, and periodic reviews to align with your unique goals and risk comfort.

 
 
 

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